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What Technicals And Trade Trends Are Signaling Now

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Bitcoin continues to hold firm near $92,800 after a rollercoaster week of sharp gains and cautious profit-taking. Following a major rally that briefly pushed the world’s largest cryptocurrency above $94,000, Bitcoin has stabilized as investors weigh bullish technical signals against broader macroeconomic developments — particularly shifting trade policies and geopolitical headlines.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $92,875, with a market cap of $1.83 trillion and a 24-hour volume exceeding $37 billion. The price action has turned heads across Wall Street and global crypto desks alike, especially after Bitcoin briefly overtook Google’s parent company, Alphabet, to become the fifth-largest asset by market capitalization globally.

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Bitcoin Rally Fueled by Trade Optimism and Institutional Momentum

The midweek surge that saw Bitcoin leap nearly 7% to its highest point since early March came on the heels of unexpected political developments. President Donald Trump walked back previous threats aimed at Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and indicated a softening stance on tariffs with China — a shift that helped rekindle risk appetite across global markets.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent further fueled optimism, calling existing tariffs “unsustainable” and hinting at near-term relief. Meanwhile, reports confirmed Japan’s Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa will head to Washington next week for a second round of trade negotiations, reinforcing expectations of eased global trade friction — a catalyst that traditionally bodes well for Bitcoin and other risk-sensitive assets.

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What the Charts Say: Strong Trend or Cooling Steam?

Despite its bullish fundamentals, Bitcoin’s technical landscape presents a more nuanced picture:

On the daily chart, Bitcoin has surged from a recent low of $74,434 to its peak at $94,700, supported by solid volume and a consistent stream of green candles.

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The four-hour chart indicates short-term distribution with a rounded top formation and declining highs, suggesting profit-taking pressure at current levels.

Key support remains in the $88,000–$90,000 range, while a confirmed close above $92,800, especially with rising volume, could spark another attempt at $96,000.

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Momentum oscillators are flashing mixed signals:

  • RSI at 64 sits in neutral territory.
  • Stochastic (92) and CCI (187) point toward an overheated market.
  • However, MACD maintains a bullish divergence, reinforcing longer-term uptrend momentum.

From a moving average standpoint, Bitcoin remains strong:

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All exponential (EMA) and simple (SMA) averages across the 10 to 200-period spectrum support a bullish trend.

The 200-day EMA at $85,274 is acting as a reliable anchor, further reinforcing a sturdy uptrend floor.

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What Could Disrupt the Momentum?

While technicals lean bullish, analysts caution against potential headwinds. The risk of a deeper short-term retracement remains, particularly if Bitcoin fails to hold above $91,700. A break below this level may open the door for a pullback toward $88,000 or even $85,000, aligning with key Fibonacci retracement zones.

At the same time, volatility in global trade policies could inject sudden uncertainty. Bitcoin’s recent jump coincided with favorable political tone shifts — any reversal in those narratives could spook markets and send prices back toward stronger support levels.

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Bitcoin in Swiss Crosshairs: Push for National Reserves

Adding a unique twist to the narrative, crypto advocates in Switzerland are renewing calls for the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to adopt Bitcoin as part of its official reserves. With geopolitical tensions and inflation fears mounting globally, campaigners argue Bitcoin offers a hedge against traditional fiat vulnerabilities.

“We need a store of value that politicians can’t inflate at will,” said Luzius Meisser of Bitcoin Suisse, who will speak at the SNB’s upcoming general meeting. A constitutional referendum effort is already underway to make Bitcoin a legal reserve asset in Switzerland.

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Altcoins Retreat as Bitcoin Consolidates Gains

While Bitcoin has managed to maintain altitude, altcoins are showing signs of fatigue:

  • Ethereum (ETH) down 3% to $1,750
  • XRP dropped 4% to $2.18
  • Solana and Cardano fell 2.6% and 1.5% respectively
  • Dogecoin slid more than 4%
  • Polygon (MATIC) bucked the trend, surging over 17% after announcing a major ecosystem upgrade

Bitcoin Price Outlook Remains Bullish

Bitcoin’s current setup reflects a strong uptrend with broad support from technical indicators and macro tailwinds. However, short-term caution is warranted. If price consolidates above $92,800, especially with volume support, analysts anticipate a move toward $96,000 is within reach.

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On the other hand, failure to defend key levels like $91,700 or $90,000 could invite a sharper correction — though likely within the broader bullish structure. Traders are advised to remain flexible and data-driven, as Bitcoin navigates a delicate balance between bullish momentum and profit-taking pressure.

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