June 13, 2025 | New York — Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI) continues to be one of the most closely watched tech stocks on Wall Street, with investors assessing whether the company’s meteoric rise in the AI server market can sustain long-term momentum—or if current valuations have already priced in much of the upside.
Currently trading in a volatile range, SMCI has seen key liquidity levels emerge. According to technical analysis, a support zone has formed around $32.30 per share—an area marked by low volume and little selling interest in May and early June. Conversely, resistance appears strong near the $48 level, where volume surged and sellers dominated.
Institutional activity adds weight to this technical setup. Northern Trust recently disclosed a $167.8 million position in SMCI, suggesting that smart money views the $32 range as a long-term opportunity. Meanwhile, short interest in the stock has declined by 4.1%, signaling bearish retreat as confidence builds around the company’s fundamentals.
Nehal Chokshi, a senior analyst at Northland Securities, has placed a $59 price target on SMCI stock—a potential 36% upside from current levels. That bullish outlook aligns with broader market optimism about SMCI’s exposure to artificial intelligence infrastructure and chipmaking, two of the most explosive sectors in today’s technology space.
In terms of earnings power, analysts are projecting Super Micro could deliver as much as $0.94 per share in Q4 2025—up nearly 200% from the recently reported $0.31 EPS. If that growth materializes, the company would not only beat short-term expectations but also strengthen its case as a top-tier AI hardware provider over the next five years.
However, not all experts are fully convinced. While SMCI remains fundamentally strong, The Motley Fool’s Stock Advisor team did not include the stock in its latest list of top 10 investment ideas—indicating that others may offer more compelling risk-reward ratios.
Still, the long-term vision remains compelling. If SMCI can successfully navigate ongoing supply chain constraints and rising competition in the AI server space, it could continue delivering outsized returns. Its strategic focus on high-performance, energy-efficient computing systems places it in a favorable position as data center expansion accelerates globally.